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Again, suppose you have the queen and one small card only, in any suit, and that your right-hand adversary leads the same, if you put on your queen, it is 5 to 4 that your left-hand adversary can win it, and therefore you play to disadvantage.
Third Calculation.
It is 5 to 2 that your partner has one out of any three certain cards.
Therefore, suppose you have the knave and one small card, and that your right-hand adversary leads from that suit, it is 5 to 2 that your left-hand adversary has either ace, king, or queen of the same; if you put on the knave, you play against yourself; besides, by making a discovery your right-hand adversary finesses upon your partner throughout that whole suit.
To explain the necessity of putting on the lowest of sequences, suppose that your adversary led a suit of which you have the king, queen, and knave, or queen, knave, and ten; by putting on your knave of one suit, or your ten of the other, it gives your partner an opportunity of calculating the odds in that, and also in all inferior suits of which you have sequences.
Suppose you have the ace, king, and two small trumps, with a quint-major or five other winning cards in any other suit, and have played trumps two rounds, and each person followed suit; in this case there are eight trumps out, and two remaining in your hand, which make ten, and, three trumps divided between the remaining three players, of which it is 5 to 2 that your partner has one, and, therefore, out of seven cards in your hand, you ought to win five tricks. |
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