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196 PIQUET. |
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3. Suppose you have the king, queen, and four of the smallest clubs, the king and queen of diamonds, the ace and knave of hearts, and the king and nine of spades, throw out the queen and four small clubs, and keep three entire suits with the king of clubs ; for this reason, because the chance of your taking in the fourth king is exactly the same as the chance of taking in the ace of clubs ; in either of which cases it is 3 to 1 against you; but if you fail of taking in the fourth king, you, by discarding thus, have a fair chance to win the cards, which will probably make twenty-two points difference. But should you discard with an expectation of taking in the ace of clubs, and happen to fail, by being obliged to throw out some of your great cards, you would have a very distant chance of either saving or winning the cards.
4. Suppose you should have the king and queen of clubs, a tierce-major in diamonds, queen and knave of hearts, and a quint from a knave of spades, throw out the quint from a knave, in order to make the most points ; because admitting that your quint should be good for every thing after you have taken in, you would in that case only score nineteen points, and you probably give the cards up, and also the chance of the quatorze of queens, besides a great number of points in play.
5. Suppose you have the king, queen, seven, eight, and nine of clubs ; the queen and knave of diamonds ; the queen, ten, and nine of hearts, with the ace and nine of spades, discard the king, seven, eight, and nine of clubs, and the nine of spades ; by which you not only go for three suits, but have the same chance for taking in the fourth queen, as you would have to take in the ace of clubs ; be- |
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